Man-made climate change as important as natural variability in December’s record rains

Posted on 14th January 2016

First results of our new study together with researchers from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show that human-induced climate change approximately doubled the chances of an exceptionally warm December in Central England, and significantly increased the chances of high rainfall further North. Ocean conditions in the Atlantic, and possibly the strong El Niño conditions now seen in […]

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CPDN and the Paris agreement

Posted on 16th December 2015

The negotiations in Paris finished with an unexpectedly strong agreement  to aim to limit warming to “well below” 2C, and even “to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C”. In two articles in The Conversation and Carbon Brief, CPDN PI Myles Allen explores the implications of a 1.5C goal. Whether a 2C or […]

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Climate change found to increase heavy rains like those of UK’s Storm Desmond

Posted on 14th December 2015

In the second real-time extreme weather attribution study in the context of the World Weather Attribution project the team found a 5-80% increase in the likelihood of heavy precipitation like those associated with storm Desmond to occur due to anthropogenic climate change. The Atlantic Storm Desmond brought torrential rain and gale-force winds to parts of […]

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8 publications in special report rely on weather@home simulations to explain extreme weather events of 2014 in Australia, Africa and South America

Posted on 5th November 2015

Human-induced climate change plays a clear and significant role in some extreme weather events but understanding the other risks at a local level is also important, highlights Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society’s annual special report, Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective. For the fourth year in a row it investigates the […]

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Record hot October in Australia at least 6 times more likely due to global warming

Posted on 5th November 2015

Writing in The Conversation CPDN partners David Karoly and Mitchell Black provide a real-time assessment of the role human-induced climate change and the ongoing El Nino are playing in the record breaking October temperatures in Australia. The magnitude of the monthly mean anaomalies is huge, with 1 deg Celcisus above the previous October record for […]

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