Publications

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

Myles Allen

Presentation to Reading University, May 2005. Download pdf (1.7 MB)

How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?

Myles Allen

Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003. Download pdf (270 KB)

Presentation to CosmoCaixa

Myles Allen

Madrid, Spain, March 2003. Download pdf (560 KB)
Spanish version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 2 MB)

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

M.R. Allen, J. Kettleborough & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 2002 ECMWF Predictability Seminar, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Reading, UK, 275–294. Download pdf (120 KB)

Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle

M.R. Allen, W. Ingram & D. Stainforth

Nature Insight article, Nature, 419, 224–232, 12 September 2002. Download pdf (210 KB)

Do it yourself climate prediction

M. Allen

Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)

What can be said about 21st century climate?

Myles Allen

June 2007. Download pdf (14.1 MB)