Publications

Probability in attributing and predicting climate change

Myles Allen

British Council, Leipzig, April 2005. Download pdf (4.9 MB)

Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net

Myles Allen

Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005. Download pdf (2.7 MB)

How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?

Myles Allen

Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003. Download pdf (270 KB)

Physics Today lecture

Dave Frame

Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003. Download pdf (2.3 MB)

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

M.R. Allen, J. Kettleborough & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 2002 ECMWF Predictability Seminar, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Reading, UK, 275–294. Download pdf (120 KB)

Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle

M.R. Allen, W. Ingram & D. Stainforth

Nature Insight article, Nature, 419, 224–232, 12 September 2002. Download pdf (210 KB)

Do it yourself climate prediction

M. Allen

Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)