Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
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Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth
Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)
Do it yourself climate prediction
Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)
Liability for climate change
Nature, 421, 891–892, February 2003. Liability for climate change (140 KB)
The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?
M.R. Allen & R. Lord
Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)
Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net
Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
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Probability in attributing and predicting climate change
British Council, Leipzig, April 2005.
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Volunteer computing in the Earth Sciences
Institute of Physics, London, 10 September, 2009.
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The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations
C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth
Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)
Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem
Climate Dynamics, 19 (8), 671–692, 18 March 2002. Download pdf (1.8 MB)
Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365, 1471–2962, 2007. Download pdf (340 KB)
Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability
M. Collins & M.R. Allen
Journal of Climate, 15 (21), 3104–3109, November 2002. Download pdf (140 KB)
How far ahead could we predict El Nino?
M. Collins, D. Frame, B. Sinha & C. Wilson
Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10:1492, 31 May 2002. Download pdf (180 KB)
Cafe Scientifique, Cuba, April 2005.
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Predicting climate change through volunteer computing
Nick Faull & Milo Thurston
Oxford University Computing Services, February 2007.
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Constraining climate model properties using optimal fingerprint detection methods
C. Forest, M.R. Allen, A. Sokolov & P. Stone
Climate Dynamics, 18, 277–295, 2001. Doi 10.1007/s003820100175. Constraining climate model properties using optimal fingerprint detection methods abstract on Springer Link website.
Detecting change in UK extreme precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment
H. Fowler, D. Cooley, S. Sain & M. Thurston
Extremes, 13 (2) 241–267, 2010. Doi:10.1007/s10687-010-0101-y. Detecting change in UK extreme precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment abstract on Springer Link website.
The climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble
D.J. Frame, T. Aina, C.M. Christensen, N. E. Fall, S.H.E. Knight, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, K. Yamazaki, Y. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen