Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave

Myles Allen

COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
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Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)

Do it yourself climate prediction

M. Allen

Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)

The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?

M.R. Allen & R. Lord

Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)

Probability and climate change

Myles Allen

Department of Trade and Industry UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003.
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Russian version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 1.9 MB)

Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from

Myles Allen

Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
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Probability in attributing and predicting climate change

Myles Allen

British Council, Leipzig, April 2005.
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Volunteer computing in the Earth Sciences

Carl Christensen

Institute of Physics, London, 10 September, 2009.
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The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations

C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)

Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem

M. Collins

Climate Dynamics, 19 (8), 671–692, 18 March 2002. Download pdf (1.8 MB)

Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change

M. Collins

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365, 1471–2962, 2007. Download pdf (340 KB)

Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability

M. Collins & M.R. Allen

Journal of Climate, 15 (21), 3104–3109, November 2002. Download pdf (140 KB)

How far ahead could we predict El Nino?

M. Collins, D. Frame, B. Sinha & C. Wilson

Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10:1492, 31 May 2002. Download pdf (180 KB)

Climate change

Sam Dean

Cafe Scientifique, Cuba, April 2005.
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Predicting climate change through volunteer computing

Nick Faull & Milo Thurston

Oxford University Computing Services, February 2007.
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The BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble

D.J. Frame, T. Aina, C.M. Christensen, N. E. Fall, S.H.E. Knight, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, K. Yamazaki, Y. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen

PrintPhilosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A, 367, 855–870, 2009. Download pdf (580 KB)