Publications

Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave

Myles Allen


COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
Download pdf (910 KB)

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)

Do it yourself climate prediction

M. Allen

Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

M.R. Allen, J. Kettleborough & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 2002 ECMWF Predictability Seminar, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Reading, UK, 275–294. Download pdf (120 KB)

Probability and climate change

Myles Allen


Department of Trade and Industry UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)
Russian version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 1.9 MB)

The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?

M.R. Allen & R. Lord

Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)

How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?

Myles Allen


Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
Download pdf (270 KB)

Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?

Myles Allen


Santiago de Compostela, July, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)

The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations

C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)