Publications

Climate prediction and its uncertainties

Dave Frame


School of Geographical Science, Bristol, October 2005.
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The climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble

D.J. Frame, T. Aina, C.M. Christensen, N. E. Fall, S.H.E. Knight, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, K. Yamazaki, Y. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen

PrintPhilosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A, 367, 855–870, 2009. Download pdf (580 KB)

climateprediction.net

Dave Frame


NIWA (National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research), New Zealand, March 2005.
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Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems

D. Frame, N. Faull, M. Joshi & M.R. Allen

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 15 August 2007. Doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2069. Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems on Royal Society website.

Predicting and attributing climate change

Dave Frame


British Council, Warsaw, Poland, September 2005.
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Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions

D. J. Frame, B. B. B. Booth, J. A. Kettleborough, D. A. Stainforth, J. M. Gregory, M. Collins, & M. R. Allen

Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L09702, May 2005. Download pdf (440 KB)

Introduction and evaluation of martlet, a scientific workflow language for abstracted parallelisation

D. Goodman

Proceedings of the Sixteenth International World Wide Web Conference, 983–982, May 2007. Download pdf (120 KB)

Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation

D. Goodman

Proceedings of UK e-science All Hands meeting, Nottingham, UK, September 2006. Download pdf (80 KB)

Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation

Daniel Goodman


All Hands meeting, Nottingham, 2006.
Download pdf (6.6 MB)

Climate change and extreme weather events

Helen Hanlon


Oxfordshire Women’s Institutes and Climate Xchange, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, November 2007.
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Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events

A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil

PrintBulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1

Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts

Jim Hansen


Talk for Coal Technology Society of America, April 2005.
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Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs

Haustein, K., Otto, F.E.L., Uhe, P., Schaller, N., Allen, M.R., Hermanson, L., Christidis, N., McLean, P. and Cullen, H.

Environmental Research Letters, 11(6). 064006.

Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14

Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314

Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa

Kamoru A. Lawal, Dáithí A. Stone, Tolu Aina, Cameron Rye and Babatunde J. Abiodun

International Journal of Climatology, Volume 35, Issue 9, pages 2193–2209, July 2015; DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234

Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study

A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone

Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)

climateprediction.net – predicting 21st century climate

Sylvia Knight


Talk for the Geography Association, March 2005.
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Attributing and predicting future climate change

Sylvia Knight


Krasnoyarsk State Pedagogical University, Siberia, October 2005.
Download pdf (2.1 MB)