Publications

Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems

D. Frame, N. Faull, M. Joshi & M.R. Allen

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 15 August 2007. Doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2069. Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems on Royal Society website.

climateprediction.net

Dave Frame


NIWA (National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research), New Zealand, March 2005.
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Climate prediction and its uncertainties

Dave Frame


School of Geographical Science, Bristol, October 2005.
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Predicting and attributing climate change

Dave Frame


British Council, Warsaw, Poland, September 2005.
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Predicting climate change

Dave Frame


OUCE (Oxford University Centre for the Environment), Oxford, January 2006.
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Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions

D. J. Frame, B. B. B. Booth, J. A. Kettleborough, D. A. Stainforth, J. M. Gregory, M. Collins, & M. R. Allen

Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L09702, May 2005. Download pdf (440 KB)

Introduction and evaluation of martlet, a scientific workflow language for abstracted parallelisation

D. Goodman

Proceedings of the Sixteenth International World Wide Web Conference, 983–982, May 2007. Download pdf (120 KB)

Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation

Daniel Goodman


All Hands meeting, Nottingham, 2006.
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Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation

D. Goodman

Proceedings of UK e-science All Hands meeting, Nottingham, UK, September 2006. Download pdf (80 KB)

Climate change and extreme weather events

Helen Hanlon


Oxfordshire Women’s Institutes and Climate Xchange, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, November 2007.
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Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events

A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil

PrintBulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1

Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts

Jim Hansen


Talk for Coal Technology Society of America, April 2005.
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Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14

Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314

Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa

Kamoru A. Lawal, Dáithí A. Stone, Tolu Aina, Cameron Rye and Babatunde J. Abiodun

International Journal of Climatology, Volume 35, Issue 9, pages 2193–2209, July 2015; DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234

Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study

A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone

Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)

Do-it-yourself climate prediction

Sylvia Knight


Video conference with 7 schools in New Zealand, November 2004.
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Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior across 57,000 climate models

C.G. Knight, S.H.E. Knight, N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Christensen, D.J. Frame, J.A. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe, B. Sanderson, D.A. Stainforth & M.R. Allen

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104 (30), 12259–12264 July 2007. Doi:10.1073/pnas.0608144104. Download pdf (140 KB)

climateprediction.net – progress so far…

Sylvia Knight


NIWA (National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research), New Zealand, November 2004.
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