Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
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Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth
Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)
Do it yourself climate prediction
Nature, 401, 642, October 1999. Download pdf (50 KB)
Model error in weather and climate forecasting
M.R. Allen, J. Kettleborough & D. Stainforth
Proceedings of the 2002 ECMWF Predictability Seminar, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Reading, UK, 275–294. Download pdf (120 KB)
The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?
M.R. Allen & R. Lord
Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)
How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
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Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?
Santiago de Compostela, July, 2003.
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The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations
C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth
Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)