Publications

Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14

Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314

Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study

A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone

Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)

Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior across 57,000 climate models

C.G. Knight, S.H.E. Knight, N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Christensen, D.J. Frame, J.A. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe, B. Sanderson, D.A. Stainforth & M.R. Allen

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104 (30), 12259–12264 July 2007. Doi:10.1073/pnas.0608144104. Download pdf (140 KB)

Comment on heat capacity, time constant and sensitivity of Earth’s climate system by S. E. Schwartz

R. Knutti, S. Krähenmann, D.J. Frame & M.R. Allen

PrintJournal of Geophysical Research, 113, 2008. D15103, doi:10.1029/2007JD009473. Download pdf (190 KB)

Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles

R. Knutti, T. Stocker, F. Joos & G.-K. Plattner

Nature 416, 18 April 2002. Download pdf (200 KB)

Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature

R. Knutti, G.A. Meehl, M.R.Allen & D.A. Stainforth

Journal of Climate, 19 (17), 4224–4233, 2006. Download pdf (810 KB)

weather@home – development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution

Neil Massey, Richard Jones, Friederike Otto, Tolu Aina, Simon Wilson, James Murphy, David Hassell, Hiro Yamazaki and Myles Allen

Print
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2455

The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures

N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Rye, F.E.L. Otto, S. Wilson, R.G. Jones, & M.R. Allen

[in: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 7, 2012. Download pdf (7.4 MB)

Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations

J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth

Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)