The attribution question
Otto, F.E.L., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Eden, J., Stott, P.A., Karoly, D.J. and Allen, M.R.
Nature Climate Change, 6: 813-816.
Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy
Friederike E. L. Otto, David J. Frame, Alexander Otto & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change (2015) doi:10.1038/nclimate2716
Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage
Allen Thompson, Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1433-z
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
Friederike E. L. Otto, Emily Boyd, Richard G. Jones, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Hannah R. Parker, Myles R. Allen
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0
Beyond climatological extremes – assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate
Sippel, S., Otto, F. E. L.
Climatic Change (2014) doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1153-9.
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F.E.L. Otto, N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones & M.R. Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702, 2012. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave, abstract from Wiley Online Library.
Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Otto FEL, Jones RG, Halladay K, Allen MR
Phil Trans R Soc B, 368, 2013. Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Climate change: Attribution of extreme weather
Friederike E. L. Otto
Nature Geoscience (2015) doi:10.1038/ngeo2484
Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
Friederike Otto, Suzanne Rosier, Myles Allen, Neil Massey, Cameron Rye and Jara Imbers Quintana
Climatic Change (2014) DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1095-2
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000
P. Pall, T. Aina, D. Stone, P. Stott, T. Nozawa, A. Hilberts, D. Lohmann & M.R. Allen
Nature, 470, 382–385, 2011. Download pdf (1.4 MB)
Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming
P. Pall, M.R. Allen & D.A. Stone
Climate Dynamics, 23 (4), 351–363, August 2006. Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming abstract on Springer Link website.
Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate.
Hannah R. Parker, Emily Boyd, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Friederike E. L. Otto & Myles R. Allen
Climate Policy: doi:10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750
Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations
C. Piani, D. J. Frame, D. A. Stainforth & M. R. Allen
Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L23825, December 2005. Download pdf (730 KB)
Effectiveness of stratospheric solar-radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity
K. Ricke, D. Rowlands, W. Ingram, D. Keith & M. Granger Morgan
Nature Climate Change, 2, 92–96, 2012. Doi:10.1038/nclimate1328. Effectiveness of stratospheric solar-radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity abstract on Nature Climate Change website.
Regional climate response to solar-radiation management
K. Ricke, M. Granger Morgan & M.R. Allen
Nature Geoscience, 3, 537–541, 2010. Doi: 10.1038/ngeo915. Regional climate response to solar-radiation management abstract on Nature Geoscience website.
Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble
D.J. Rowlands, D.J. Frame, D. Ackerley, T. Aina, B.B.B. Booth, C. Christensen, M. Collins, N. Faull, C.E. Forest, B.S. Grandey, E. Gryspeerdt, E.J. Highwood, W.J. Ingram, S. Knight, A. Lopez, N. Massey, F. McNamara, N. Meinshausen, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, B.M. Sanderson, L.A. Smith, D.A. Stone, M. Thurston, K. Yamazaki, H. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen
Human Influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012
Davie E. Rupp, Philip W. Mote, Neil Massey, Friederike E.L. Otto, Myles R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, S2-S6, 2013. Download pdf
Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011
David E. Rupp, Sihan Li, Neil Massey, Sarah N. Sparrow, Philip W. Mote, Myles Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 42, Issue 7, 16 April 2015, Pages 2392–2400. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062683
Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable?
D.E. Rupp, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, C.J. Rye, R. Jones & M.R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 93, 1052–1054, 2012. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1. Download pdf (7.4 MB)
Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid-scale processes
B. Sanderson, R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. Frame, W. Ingram, C. Piani, D. Stainforth, D. Stone & M. Allen
Journal of Climate, 21, 2384–2400, June 2008. Download pdf (1.6 MB)