weather@home – development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution

Neil Massey, Richard Jones, Friederike Otto, Tolu Aina, Simon Wilson, James Murphy, David Hassell, Hiro Yamazaki and Myles Allen

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2455

The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures

N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Rye, F.E.L. Otto, S. Wilson, R.G. Jones, & M.R. Allen

[in: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 7, 2012. Download pdf (7.4 MB)

Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US

Philip W. Mote, Myles R. Allen, Richard G. Jones, Sihan Li, Roberto Mera, David E. Rupp, Ahmed Salahuddin and Dean Vickers

PrintBulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015, doi:

Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations

J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth

Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)

Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests

Otto FEL, Jones RG, Halladay K, Allen MR

Phil Trans R Soc B, 368, 2013. Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests 

Beyond climatological extremes – assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate

Sippel, S., Otto, F. E. L.

PrintClimatic Change (2014)  doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1153-9.

Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage

Allen Thompson, Friederike E. L. Otto

Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1433-z

Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications

Friederike E. L. Otto, Emily Boyd, Richard G. Jones, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Hannah R. Parker, Myles R. Allen

Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0