weather@home – development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution
Neil Massey, Richard Jones, Friederike Otto, Tolu Aina, Simon Wilson, James Murphy, David Hassell, Hiro Yamazaki and Myles Allen
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures
N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Rye, F.E.L. Otto, S. Wilson, R.G. Jones, & M.R. Allen
[in: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 7, 2012. Download pdf (7.4 MB)
Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
Philip W. Mote, Myles R. Allen, Richard G. Jones, Sihan Li, Roberto Mera, David E. Rupp, Ahmed Salahuddin and Dean Vickers
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth
Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)
Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
M. New, A. Lopez, S. Dessai & R. Wilby
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 2117–2131, 2007. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector abstract on Royal Society website.
Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Otto FEL, Jones RG, Halladay K, Allen MR
Phil Trans R Soc B, 368, 2013. Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Beyond climatological extremes – assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate
Sippel, S., Otto, F. E. L.
Climatic Change (2014) doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1153-9.
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F.E.L. Otto, N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones & M.R. Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702, 2012. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave, abstract from Wiley Online Library.
Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage
Allen Thompson, Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1433-z
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
Friederike E. L. Otto, Emily Boyd, Richard G. Jones, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Hannah R. Parker, Myles R. Allen
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0