Climate change in Libya 1957 to 2057
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Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley
Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, and Peter C. Frumhoff
Climatic Change, 2015; DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3
Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
Philip W. Mote, Myles R. Allen, Richard G. Jones, Sihan Li, Roberto Mera, David E. Rupp, Ahmed Salahuddin and Dean Vickers
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth
Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)
Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
M. New, A. Lopez, S. Dessai & R. Wilby
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 2117–2131, 2007. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector abstract on Royal Society website.
Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
Friederike Otto, Suzanne Rosier, Myles Allen, Neil Massey, Cameron Rye and Jara Imbers Quintana
Climatic Change (2014) DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1095-2
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F.E.L. Otto, N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones & M.R. Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702, 2012. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave, abstract from Wiley Online Library.
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
Friederike E. L. Otto, Emily Boyd, Richard G. Jones, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Hannah R. Parker, Myles R. Allen
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0
Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage
Allen Thompson, Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1433-z
Climate change: Attribution of extreme weather
Friederike E. L. Otto
Nature Geoscience (2015) doi:10.1038/ngeo2484
Beyond climatological extremes – assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate
Sippel, S., Otto, F. E. L.
Climatic Change (2014) doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1153-9.
Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy
Friederike E. L. Otto, David J. Frame, Alexander Otto & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change (2015) doi:10.1038/nclimate2716
Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Otto FEL, Jones RG, Halladay K, Allen MR
Phil Trans R Soc B, 368, 2013. Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming
P. Pall, M.R. Allen & D.A. Stone
Climate Dynamics, 23 (4), 351–363, August 2006. Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming abstract on Springer Link website.
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000
P. Pall, T. Aina, D. Stone, P. Stott, T. Nozawa, A. Hilberts, D. Lohmann & M.R. Allen
Nature, 470, 382–385, 2011. Download pdf (1.4 MB)
Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations
C. Piani, D. J. Frame, D. A. Stainforth & M. R. Allen
Geophysical Review Letters, 32, L23825, December 2005. Download pdf (730 KB)
Effectiveness of stratospheric solar-radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity
K. Ricke, D. Rowlands, W. Ingram, D. Keith & M. Granger Morgan
Nature Climate Change, 2, 92–96, 2012. Doi:10.1038/nclimate1328. Effectiveness of stratospheric solar-radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity abstract on Nature Climate Change website.
Regional climate response to solar-radiation management
K. Ricke, M. Granger Morgan & M.R. Allen
Nature Geoscience, 3, 537–541, 2010. Doi: 10.1038/ngeo915. Regional climate response to solar-radiation management abstract on Nature Geoscience website.
Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a large multi-member climate model ensemble
Derek Rosendahl & David Karoly
Poster for Seventh NOAA Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop, USA, March, 2009.
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Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a multi-thousand member climate model ensemble
Derek Rosendahl & David Karoly
Poster from 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change at the 90th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, USA, January, 2010.