Publications

Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events

A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil

PrintBulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1

Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts

Jim Hansen


Talk for Coal Technology Society of America, April 2005.
Download pdf (2.8 MB)

Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14

Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314

Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa

Kamoru A. Lawal, Dáithí A. Stone, Tolu Aina, Cameron Rye and Babatunde J. Abiodun

International Journal of Climatology, Volume 35, Issue 9, pages 2193–2209, July 2015; DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234

Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study

A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone

Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)

Climateprediction.net – predicting 21st century climate

Sylvia Knight


Talk to teachers at Natural History Museum, Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
Download pdf (2.8 MB)

Climate change education and research in the UK

Sylvia Knight


Al Farabi National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan, October 2005.
Download pdf (4.1 MB)

Simulate the climate of 1920 to 2080 on your home computer

Sylvia Knight


Talk given to students at Natural History Museum, Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
Download pdf (2.2 MB)