Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events
A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1
Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts
Talk for Coal Technology Society of America, April 2005.
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Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century
J. Hansen, M.R. Allen, D. Stainforth, A. Heaps & P. Stott
World Resource Review, 13 (2), 187–189, 2001. Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century (110 KB)
Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries
G.C. Hegerl, T.J. Crowley, W.T. Hyde & D.J. Frame
Nature, 440, 1029–1032, April 2006. Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries abstract on Nature website.
Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14
Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314
Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa
Kamoru A. Lawal, Dáithí A. Stone, Tolu Aina, Cameron Rye and Babatunde J. Abiodun
International Journal of Climatology, Volume 35, Issue 9, pages 2193–2209, July 2015; DOI: 10.1002/joc.4234
Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study
A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone
Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)
Climateprediction.net – predicting 21st century climate
Talk to teachers at Natural History Museum, Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
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Climate change education and research in the UK
Al Farabi National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan, October 2005.
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Simulate the climate of 1920 to 2080 on your home computer
Talk given to students at Natural History Museum, Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
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