Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a large multi-member climate model ensemble
Derek Rosendahl & David Karoly
Poster for Seventh NOAA Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop, USA, March, 2009.
Download pdf (1 MB)
Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a multi-thousand member climate model ensemble
Derek Rosendahl & David Karoly
Poster from 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change at the 90th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, USA, January, 2010.
Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble
D.J. Rowlands, D.J. Frame, D. Ackerley, T. Aina, B.B.B. Booth, C. Christensen, M. Collins, N. Faull, C.E. Forest, B.S. Grandey, E. Gryspeerdt, E.J. Highwood, W.J. Ingram, S. Knight, A. Lopez, N. Massey, F. McNamara, N. Meinshausen, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, B.M. Sanderson, L.A. Smith, D.A. Stone, M. Thurston, K. Yamazaki, H. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen
Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011
David E. Rupp, Sihan Li, Neil Massey, Sarah N. Sparrow, Philip W. Mote, Myles Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 42, Issue 7, 16 April 2015, Pages 2392–2400. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062683
Human Influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012
Davie E. Rupp, Philip W. Mote, Neil Massey, Friederike E.L. Otto, Myles R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, S2-S6, 2013. Download pdf
Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable?
D.E. Rupp, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, C.J. Rye, R. Jones & M.R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 93, 1052–1054, 2012. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1. Download pdf (7.4 MB)
Towards constraining climate sensitivity by linear analysis of feedback patterns in thousands of perturbed-physics GCM simulations
B. Sanderson, C. Piani, W.J. Ingram, D.A. Stone & M.R. Allen
Climate Dynamics, 30, 175–190, February 2008. Download pdf (3.7 MB)
Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid-scale processes
B. Sanderson, R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. Frame, W. Ingram, C. Piani, D. Stainforth, D. Stone & M. Allen
Journal of Climate, 21, 2384–2400, June 2008. Download pdf (1.6 MB)
Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts
Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Changedoi:10.1038/nclimate2927
Environmental online communication
A. Scharl (Ed.)
Advanced Information and Knowledge Processing Series, 2004 Springer London, ISBN: 1-85233-783-4. Chapter 12: climateprediction.net: a global community for research in climate physics on EcoResearch.net website.
Avoiding dangerous climate change
H.J. Schellnhuber (Chief Ed.), W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley, & G. Yohe (Eds.)
Avoiding dangerous climate change, Cambridge University Press, 2006. In particular:
- Chapter 29 – Observational constraints on climate change
- Chapter 33 – Risks associate with stabilisation scenarios and uncertainty in regional and global climate change impacts
Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: Pitfalls and their overcoming.
Sippel, S., Zeischler, J., Heimann, M., Otto, F.E.L., Peters, J. and Mahecha, M.D.
Geophysical Research Letters, 42(20): doi
Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events
Sebastian Sippel, Dann Mitchell, Mitchell T. Black, Andrea J. Dittus, Luke Harrington, Nathalie Schaller, Friederike E.L. Otto
Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.06.004
Stakeholder Perspectives on the Attribution of Extreme Weather Events: An Explorative Enquiry
Sebastian Sippel, Peter Walton, and Friederike E.L. Otto
Weather, Climate, and Society 2015; doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00045.1
The use of very large atmospheric model ensemble to assess potential anthropogenic influence on the UK summer 2012 high rainfall totals
Sarah Sparrow, Chris Huntingford, Neil Massey, Myles Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, S36-S41, 2013. Download pdf
Climateprediction.net: design principles for public resource modelling research
D. Stainforth, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, A. Simpson, R. Gillis, A. Akkas, R. Gault, M. Collins, D. Gavaghan & M. Allen
Proceedings of 14th IASTED conference on parallel and distributed computing systems, 2002. Download pdf (250 KB)
Risks associated with stabilisation scenarios?
Talk at Stabilisation 2005, Met Office, Exeter, February 2005.
Download pdf (320 KB)
Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
D.A. Stainforth, T. Aina, C. Christensen, M. Collins, N. Faull, D.J. Frame, J.A. Kettleborough, S. Knight, A. Martin, J.M. Murphy, C. Piani, D. Sexton, L.A. Smith, R.A. Spicer, A.J. Thorpe & M.R. Allen
Nature, 433, 403–406, January 2005. Download pdf (720 KB)
Public resource distributed modelling
Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
Download pdf (920 KB)