Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events
A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1
Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century
J. Hansen, M.R. Allen, D. Stainforth, A. Heaps & P. Stott
World Resource Review, 13 (2), 187–189, 2001. Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century (110 KB)
Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts
Talk for Coal Technology Society of America, April 2005.
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Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries
G.C. Hegerl, T.J. Crowley, W.T. Hyde & D.J. Frame
Nature, 440, 1029–1032, April 2006. Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries abstract on Nature website.
Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14
Chris Huntingford, Terry Marsh, Adam A. Scaife, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Jamie Hannaford, Alison L. Kay, Mike Lockwood, Christel Prudhomme, Nick S. Reynard, Simon Parry, Jason A. Lowe, James A. Screen, Helen C. Ward, Malcolm Roberts, Peter A. Stott, Vicky A. Bell, Mark Bailey, Alan Jenkins, Tim Legg, Friederike E. L. Otto, Neil Massey, Nathalie Schaller, Julia Slingo & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Change 4, 769–777 (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2314
Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study
A.L. Kay, S.M. Crooks, P. Pall, & D.A. Stone
Journal of Hydrology, 406, 97–112, 2011. Download pdf (2.1 MB)
Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior across 57,000 climate models
C.G. Knight, S.H.E. Knight, N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Christensen, D.J. Frame, J.A. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe, B. Sanderson, D.A. Stainforth & M.R. Allen
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104 (30), 12259–12264 July 2007. Doi:10.1073/pnas.0608144104. Download pdf (140 KB)
climateprediction.net – progress so far…
NIWA (National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research), New Zealand, November 2004.
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Climate change education and research in the UK
Al Farabi National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan, October 2005.
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Climateprediction.net: Communicating climate prediction
Royal Meteorological Society, September 2005.
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