Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011
David E. Rupp, Sihan Li, Neil Massey, Sarah N. Sparrow, Philip W. Mote, Myles Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 42, Issue 7, 16 April 2015, Pages 2392–2400. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062683
Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012
Rupp, Sihan Li, Philip W Mote, Neil Massey, Sarah N Sparrow, David CH Wallom
Journal of Climate. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0294.1
Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US
Rupp, D.E., Li, S., Mote, P.W., Shell, K.M., Massey, N., Sparrow, S.N., Wallom, D.C. and Allen, M.R
Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3200-x
Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable?
D.E. Rupp, P.W. Mote, N. Massey, C.J. Rye, R. Jones & M.R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 93, 1052–1054, 2012. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1. Download pdf (7.4 MB)
Human Influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012
Davie E. Rupp, Philip W. Mote, Neil Massey, Friederike E.L. Otto, Myles R. Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, S2-S6, 2013. Download pdf
Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada
Rupp, D. and Li, S
Int. J. Climatol.. doi:10.1002/joc.4963
Towards constraining climate sensitivity by linear analysis of feedback patterns in thousands of perturbed-physics GCM simulations
B. Sanderson, C. Piani, W.J. Ingram, D.A. Stone & M.R. Allen
Climate Dynamics, 30, 175–190, February 2008. Download pdf (3.7 MB)
Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid-scale processes
B. Sanderson, R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. Frame, W. Ingram, C. Piani, D. Stainforth, D. Stone & M. Allen
Journal of Climate, 21, 2384–2400, June 2008. Download pdf (1.6 MB)
Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts
Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott & Myles R. Allen
Nature Climate Changedoi:10.1038/nclimate2927
Environmental online communication
A. Scharl (Ed.)
Advanced Information and Knowledge Processing Series, 2004 Springer London, ISBN: 1-85233-783-4. Chapter 12: climateprediction.net: a global community for research in climate physics on EcoResearch.net website.
Avoiding dangerous climate change
H.J. Schellnhuber (Chief Ed.), W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T. Wigley, & G. Yohe (Eds.)
Avoiding dangerous climate change, Cambridge University Press, 2006. In particular:
- Chapter 29 – Observational constraints on climate change
- Chapter 33 – Risks associate with stabilisation scenarios and uncertainty in regional and global climate change impacts
Stakeholder Perspectives on the Attribution of Extreme Weather Events: An Explorative Enquiry
Sebastian Sippel, Peter Walton, and Friederike E.L. Otto
Weather, Climate, and Society 2015; doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00045.1
A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations
Sippel, S., Otto, F., Forkel, M., Allen, M., Guillod, B., Heimann, M., Reichstein, M., Seneviratne, S., Thonicke, K. and Mahecha, M
Earth System Dynamics, 7(1): 71-88.
Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events
Sebastian Sippel, Dann Mitchell, Mitchell T. Black, Andrea J. Dittus, Luke Harrington, Nathalie Schaller, Friederike E.L. Otto
Weather and Climate Extremes, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.06.004
Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: Pitfalls and their overcoming.
Sippel, S., Zeischler, J., Heimann, M., Otto, F.E.L., Peters, J. and Mahecha, M.D.
Geophysical Research Letters, 42(20): doi
The use of very large atmospheric model ensemble to assess potential anthropogenic influence on the UK summer 2012 high rainfall totals
Sarah Sparrow, Chris Huntingford, Neil Massey, Myles Allen
[in Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 94, S36-S41, 2013. Download pdf
Risks associated with stabilisation scenarios?
Talk at Stabilisation 2005, Met Office, Exeter, February 2005.
Download pdf (320 KB)
Public resource distributed modelling
Stockholm, Sweden, March 2006.
Download pdf (920 KB)
Climateprediction.net: design principles for public resource modelling research
D. Stainforth, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, A. Simpson, R. Gillis, A. Akkas, R. Gault, M. Collins, D. Gavaghan & M. Allen
Proceedings of 14th IASTED conference on parallel and distributed computing systems, 2002. Download pdf (250 KB)