Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth
Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)
Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
M. New, A. Lopez, S. Dessai & R. Wilby
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 2117–2131, 2007. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector abstract on Royal Society website.
Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
Friederike E. L. Otto, Emily Boyd, Richard G. Jones, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Hannah R. Parker, Myles R. Allen
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0
Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Otto FEL, Jones RG, Halladay K, Allen MR
Phil Trans R Soc B, 368, 2013. Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F.E.L. Otto, N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones & M.R. Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702, 2012. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave, abstract from Wiley Online Library.
Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
Friederike Otto, Suzanne Rosier, Myles Allen, Neil Massey, Cameron Rye and Jara Imbers Quintana
Climatic Change (2014) DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1095-2
Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage
Allen Thompson, Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change, June 2015, DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1433-z
Beyond climatological extremes – assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate
Sippel, S., Otto, F. E. L.
Climatic Change (2014) doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1153-9.
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000
P. Pall, T. Aina, D. Stone, P. Stott, T. Nozawa, A. Hilberts, D. Lohmann & M.R. Allen
Nature, 470, 382–385, 2011. Download pdf (1.4 MB)
Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming
P. Pall, M.R. Allen & D.A. Stone
Climate Dynamics, 23 (4), 351–363, August 2006. Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming abstract on Springer Link website.