The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

Black, M. T., Karoly, D. J., Rosier, S. M., Dean, S. M., King, A. D., Massey, N. R., Sparrow, S. N., Bowery, A., Wallom, D., Jones, R. G., Otto, F. E. L., and Allen, M. R

Geoscientific Model Development; Katlenburg-Lindau9.9 (2016): 3161-3176.

Climate change was an important driver of southern Australia’s warmest October on record

Black, M.T., and D. J. Karoly

[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S118-S121. DOI:

weather@home 2: validation of an improved global-regional climate modelling system

Guillod, B. P., Bowery, A., Haustein, K., Jones, R. G., Massey, N. R., Mitchell, D. M., Otto, F. E. L., Sparrow, S. N., Uhe, P., Wallom, D. C. H., Wilson, S., and Allen, M. R

Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-239, in review.

Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs

Haustein, K., Otto, F.E.L., Uhe, P., Schaller, N., Allen, M.R., Hermanson, L., Christidis, N., McLean, P. and Cullen, H.

Environmental Research Letters, 11(6). 064006.

The roles of climate change and El Niño in the record low rainfall in October 2015 in Tasmania, Australia

Karoly, D. J., M.T. Black, M.R. Grose and A. D. King

[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S127-S130. DOI:

Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems

Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B., Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woolings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M

Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z

Enabling BOINC in Infrastructure as a Service Cloud Systems

Diego Montes, Juan A. Añel, Tomás F. Pena, Peter Uhe, and David C. H. Wallom

 Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-193, 2016

Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States

Mote, P., Rupp, D., Li, S. Sharp, D. Otto, F., Uhe, P., Xiao, M., Lettermaier, D., Cullen, H. and Allen, M.

Geophysical Research Letters: 10980-10988.

Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US

Mote, P. W., M. R. Allen, R. G. Jones, S. Li, R. Mera, D. E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, D. Vickers

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (97), 203-215, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1.

Climate Model Forecast Biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble

David P. Mulholland, Keith Haines, Sarah N. Sparrow and David Wallom

Clim Dyn (2016). doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3407-x

Extreme events: The art of attribution

Friederike E. L. Otto

Nature Climate Change6,342–343doi:10.1038/nclimate2971

The attribution question

Otto, F.E.L., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Eden, J., Stott, P.A., Karoly, D.J. and Allen, M.R.

Nature Climate Change, 6: 813-816.

Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate.

Hannah R. Parker, Emily Boyd, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Friederike E. L. Otto & Myles R. Allen

Climate Policy: doi:10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750

A comparison of model ensembles for attributing 2012 West African rainfall,

Parker, H., Lott, F., Cornforth, R., Mitchell, D., Sparrow, S., and Wallom, D

Environmental Research Letters, 12 014019 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5386

Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada

Rupp, D. and Li, S

Int. J. Climatol.. doi:10.1002/joc.4963

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US

Rupp, D.E., Li, S., Mote, P.W., Shell, K.M., Massey, N., Sparrow, S.N., Wallom, D.C. and Allen, M.R

Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3200-x

Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012

Rupp, Sihan Li, Philip W Mote, Neil Massey, Sarah N Sparrow, David CH Wallom

Journal of Climate. DOI:

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts


Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Changedoi:10.1038/nclimate2927


A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

Sippel, S., Otto, F., Forkel, M., Allen, M., Guillod, B., Heimann, M., Reichstein, M., Seneviratne, S., Thonicke, K. and Mahecha, M

Earth System Dynamics, 7(1): 71-88.

Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

Uhe, P., Otto, F.E.L., Haustein, K., van Oldenborgh, G.J., King, A.D., Wallom, D.C.H., Allen, M.R. and Cullen, H

Geophysical Research Letters. DOI:10.1002/2016GL069568