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27,000 runs have successfully completed and returned results to climateprediction.net!
The global mean temperatures produced by all of these through the 3 phases
have been plotted in the figure below.
Phase 1
Most models maintain a temperature of between 13 and 14 °C
Phase 2
Most models still maintain a temperature of between 13 and 14 °C,
however some get colder - these are not stable
and the heat flux calculated in phase 1 was not correct to keep the model
in balance.
Phase 3
In this phase the models all react very differently to the doubling of
carbon dioxide! Most models warm slowly to between 13 and 15 °C over
the 15 years. However some get a lot warmer - up to 22°C, whilst others
cool.
This image will now be used as a background when we display your model
results on the user
pages, so that you can see what your model produced in the context
of all the other runs.
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