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- Category: News
- New study: Attributing and Projecting Compound Extremes over East Asia (06/14/2023)
- STORMS study: Investigating how low-pressure systems may change in the future (02/13/2023)
- Scots should get ready for more frequent heatwaves, experts say (02/03/2020)
- Introducing the AFLAME project (Attributing Amazon Forest fires from Land-use Alteration and Meteorological Extremes) (09/12/2019)
- Oxford e-Research Centre teams up with ECMWF to enable scientists to run the OpenIFS weather model on thousands of people’s home computers. (06/18/2019)
- News about links to publications (06/05/2019)
- Adhering to Paris Agreement climate goal could significantly decrease heat-related summer deaths (06/29/2018)
- BOINC workshop: 24-27 July 2018 (05/18/2018)
- Happi-LAND paper examines influence of land use change on global warming (03/14/2018)
- How do population dynamics affect impact of heat extremes? (02/27/2018)
- Flood project stakeholder workshop to take place in Dhaka, Bangladesh (02/26/2018)
- Paper presents tool for assessing risk of hydro-meteorological extremes in UK (02/19/2018)
- Can climate change impacts be inventoried? Dr Friederike Otto explores (02/01/2018)
- Dr Otto’s Climate Series talk at KlimaCampus Hamburg (01/22/2018)
- ECIU Report: 41 extreme event studies in 2 years show climate change link (01/17/2018)
- Cold snap in North America – World Weather Attribution analysis (01/17/2018)
- Dr Friederike Otto presents to Chinese and Brazilian scientists at LOTUS workshop (01/08/2018)
- E&E News article explores how climate attribution science has developed in last 15 years (01/08/2018)
- Dr Sihan Li presents at AGU Fall Meeting (01/03/2018)
- Human-caused warming intensified Hurricane Harvey’s rains (12/14/2017)
- New index of warming due to human influence on climate released (11/15/2017)
- Assigning historical responsibility for extreme events (11/06/2017)
- Does rapid attribution stand test of time? (11/03/2017)
- Dr Fredi Otto to take part in ‘Climate Science and the Law’ seminar (11/03/2017)
- Discovering Climate Modelling at Curiosity Carnival (10/04/2017)
- Meet the CPDN team at the University of Oxford’s Curiosity Carnival on 29 September (08/30/2017)
- CPDN scientists in Nairobi for final workshop of RRA project (04/02/2017)
- “Loading the dice: climate change and extreme weather in Ireland, Europe and the World” Professor Myles Allen, University of Oxford (02/27/2017)
- New translate feature added to the website (02/20/2017)
- CPDN in 2016 – a look back over the last year (02/03/2017)
- Summer school – How do Global Teleconnections Impact on Climate? (02/02/2017)
- Heat Wave in the Arctic (12/22/2016)
- ECI director Jim Hall thanking all CPDN volunteers (10/18/2016)
- Attributing European Record temperatures of 2014 (09/06/2016)
- The Attribution Question (08/25/2016)
- CPDN part of the Climate SWAT team (08/02/2016)
- 100s of deaths in two cities in 2003 heatwave due to man-made climate change (07/08/2016)
- Paris floods made almost twice as likely due to climate change (06/10/2016)
- New analysis provides “proof of concept” for real-time extreme event attribution (06/01/2016)
- All new models can now be run on Macs (05/26/2016)
- weather@home and climateprediction.net at EGU General Assembly 2016 (04/21/2016)
- Raising Risk Awareness – new project under WWA (04/18/2016)
- Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts (02/01/2016)
- Man-made climate change as important as natural variability in December’s record rains (01/14/2016)
- CPDN and the Paris agreement (12/16/2015)
- Climate change found to increase heavy rains like those of UK’s Storm Desmond (12/14/2015)
- 8 publications in special report rely on weather@home simulations to explain extreme weather events of 2014 in Australia, Africa and South America (11/05/2015)
- Record hot October in Australia at least 6 times more likely due to global warming (11/05/2015)
- Weather@Home Mexico: New Climate Modelling Experiment Launching Soon (08/25/2015)
- Change needed to avoid ‘paralysis’ in climate policies (08/04/2015)
- Weather@home 2015 Western US Drought: All models have been sent out, about half have come back (07/23/2015)
- New Climatology Results for Western US Drought Experiment (07/15/2015)
- Update: Heatwave Twice as Likely Due to Climate Change (07/09/2015)
- Preliminary Results for Western US Drought – 607 Models (07/07/2015)
- Climate Change Plays Significant Role in European Heat Wave (07/02/2015)
- climateprediction.net at Our Common Future Under Climate Change, Paris (07/02/2015)
- New Experiment Launched: weather@home 2015: Western US Drought (06/30/2015)
- climateprediction.net at the European Geosciences Union, Vienna (04/14/2015)
- Future weather@home applications will only run on a single operating system: Windows, Linux or Mac – here’s why… (04/07/2015)
- Project Currently Down – UPDATE: We’re back up and running (03/24/2015)
- Prof Myles Allen giving a lecture in Dublin, March 11 (03/10/2015)
- 2014 in numbers – 7,500 years of computing time (02/10/2015)
- Planned server downtime Thursday 5 February (01/29/2015)
- How anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are changing the odds of individual extreme weather events – a communication opportunity (01/27/2015)
- EPSRC funded PhD in Mathematics at University of Exeter (01/20/2015)
- Website up and running again (01/06/2015)
- Europe’s Record Heat Directly Tied to Climate Change (12/18/2014)
- New publication on the experimental setup of weather@home (10/30/2014)
- New publication about extreme summer rainfall in England and Wales (10/14/2014)
- Live stream: IPCC AR5: Three numbers that matter, and numbers that matter less than you think (10/13/2014)
- Explaining Extreme Weather Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective (09/29/2014)
- Potential influences on the United Kingdom’s floods of winter 2013/14 (09/16/2014)
- Deadline approaching for Research Computing Specialist job application (08/28/2014)
- Two New Post-Doc Vacancies with the Project (06/10/2014)
- New Project with Climate Central: World Weather Attribution (06/10/2014)
- Possible server issues in June (06/10/2014)
- Research Job: Changing Risks of Droughts, Water Scarcity and Heatwaves Using Ensemble Climate Modelling (06/05/2014)
- Listen to David Karoly talking about ANZ weather@home on ABC Radio (05/20/2014)
- Results from weather@home 2014 UK Flooding Experiment: climate change makes very wet winters ‘a bit more likely’ (04/30/2014)
- Professor Myles Allen speaking at EGU about weather@home 2014 UK Flooding Experiment (04/29/2014)
- To all volunteers: Please update your BOINC client (04/24/2014)
- Latest update on results from weather@home 2014 UK Flooding experiment (04/10/2014)
- 30,000 Results in for weather@home 2014 UK Flooding Experiment (04/01/2014)
- Launch of new weather@home experiment on the causes of recent heatwaves and drought in Australia and New Zealand (03/26/2014)
- More Results for UK 2014 Flooding Experiment – Over 15,000 Models Run (03/25/2014)
- Over 5,000 results in for Weather@home 2014 UK Flooding experiment (03/20/2014)
- 2nd Batch of Results from Weather@Home 2014 UK Flooding Experiment (03/18/2014)
- First Results from Weather@Home 2014 UK Flooding Experiment (03/11/2014)
- Myles Allen and Nathalie Schaller on BBC Radio 4 Inside Science (03/11/2014)
- New Weather@Home Project – Were Recent UK Floods Due to Climate Change? (03/04/2014)
- First meeting of new climate modelling and extreme event attribution project, EUCLEIA (02/13/2014)
- CPDN back online after unexpected outage (01/30/2014)
- 10 years of CPDN – and you are invited to celebrate with us! (09/04/2013)
- New CPDN publication is part of Special Issue on “Change in African rainforests: past present and future” (07/22/2013)
- CPDN new website launched (05/23/2013)
- Climateprediction.net featured in Oxford exhibition (03/20/2013)
- Weatherathome papers published in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (07/13/2012)
- Will.i.am and Professor Myles Allen discuss weatherathome and Intel’s Progress thru Processors (05/21/2012)
- Results from the BBC climate change experiment (03/03/2012)
- First results from weatherathome experiment (02/23/2012)
Publications
- The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India
- Ensemble of European regional climate simulations for the winter of 2013 and 2014 from HadAM3P-RM3P
- Changing population dynamics and uneven temperature emergence combine to exacerbate regional exposure to heat extremes under 1.5 °C and 2 °C of warming
- Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought: 2016 KENYAN DROUGHT
- A large set of potential past, present and future hydro-meteorological time series for the UK
- Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design
- A real-time Global Warming Index
- The roles of climate change and El Niño in the record low rainfall in October 2015 in Tasmania, Australia
- Climate change was an important driver of southern Australia’s warmest October on record
- Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
- Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada
- Enabling BOINC in Infrastructure as a Service Cloud Systems
- Climate Model Forecast Biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble
- weather@home 2: validation of an improved global-regional climate modelling system
- The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand
- Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US
- Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012
- Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events
- A comparison of model ensembles for attributing 2012 West African rainfall,
- Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States
- Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences
- A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations
- The attribution question
- Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems
- Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs
- Attribution of extreme weather and climate-related events.
- Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: Pitfalls and their overcoming.
- Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate.
- Extreme events: The art of attribution
- Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts
- Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley
- Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western United States using a superensemble from weather@home
- Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy
- Trends in the potential spread of seasonal climate simulations over South Africa
- Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events
- Climate change: Attribution of extreme weather
- Stakeholder Perspectives on the Attribution of Extreme Weather Events: An Explorative Enquiry
- Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications
- Ethical and normative implications of weather event attribution for policy discussions concerning loss and damage
- Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011
- Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events
- Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
- Attribution analysis of high precipitation events in summer in England and Wales over the last decade
- weather@home - development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution
- Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14
- Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review
- Beyond climatological extremes - assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate
- The record winter drought of 2011-2012 in the Iberian Peninsula. Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective
- The use of very large atmospheric model ensemble to assess potential anthropogenic influence on the UK summer 2012 high rainfall totals
- Human Influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central United States in 2012
- Attribution of changes in precipitation patterns in African rainforests
- Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable?
- Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
- The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures
- Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a multi-thousand member climate model ensemble
- Estimating uncertainties in global and regional climate change projections using a large multi-member climate model ensemble
- Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen
- Volunteer computing in the Earth Sciences
- What can be said about future climate? Quantifying uncertainty in multi-decade climate forecasting
- Energy and climate: understanding climate change
- Climate change and extreme weather events
- Climate change in Libya 1957 to 2057
- A North African perspective on climate change
- What can be said about 21st century climate?
- Climateprediction.net data curation
- Predicting climate change through volunteer computing
- Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation
- Public resource distributed modelling
- Puzzles arising from climateprediction.net
- Climateprediction.net – predicting 21st century climate
- Simulate the climate of 1920 to 2080 on your home computer
- Predicting climate change
- Climate prediction and its uncertainties
- Attributing and predicting future climate change
- Attributing and predicting climate change
- Climate change education and research in the UK
- Predicting future climate change
- Attribution of climate change: the spectre of liability
- Predicting and attributing climate change
- Climateprediction.net: Communicating climate prediction
- Attributing and predicting climate change
- The spectre of liability
- Model error in weather and climate forecasting
- Probability in attributing and predicting climate change
- Data access and analysis with distributed, federated data servers in climateprediction.net
- Climate change
- Grand ensembles: Confidence, uncertainty and probability in climate change forecasts
- Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net
- climateprediction.net
- climateprediction.net – predicting 21st century climate
- Risks associated with stabilisation scenarios?
- climateprediction.net – help predict 21st century climate
- Do-it-yourself climate prediction
- Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
- Do-it-yourself climate prediction
- climateprediction.net – progress so far…
- From the sun to the earth: climate 1879 to 2129
- Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting
- Probability and climate change
- Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?
- How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
- Physics Today lecture
- Presentation to CosmoCaixa
- Climateprediction.com: Distributed computing for public interest modelling research
- Climateprediction.net: design principles for public resource modelling research
- Security principles for public-resource modelling research
- The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations
- Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in climateprediction.net
- Martlet: a scientific work-flow language for abstracted parallisation
- Introduction and evaluation of martlet, a scientific workflow language for abstracted parallelisation
- The climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment: design of the coupled model ensemble
- Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble
- Effectiveness of stratospheric solar-radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity
- Attribution of Autumn/Winter 2000 flood risk in England to anthropogenic climate change: a catchment-based study
- Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in Autumn 2000
- Climate feedbacks determined using radiative kernels in a multi-thousand member ensemble of AOGCMs
- Regional climate response to solar-radiation management
- Detecting change in UK extreme precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC climate change experiment
- The case for mandatory sequestration
- Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform
- The detection and attribution of human influence on climate
- From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England
- Comment on heat capacity, time constant and sensitivity of Earth's climate system by S. E. Schwartz
- Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid-scale processes
- Towards constraining climate sensitivity by linear analysis of feedback patterns in thousands of perturbed-physics GCM simulations
- Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
- Call off the quest
- Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems
- Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior across 57,000 climate models
- Constraining climate model properties using optimal fingerprint detection methods
- Avoiding dangerous climate change
- Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change
- Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature
- Testing the Clausius-Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under CO2 warming
- Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries
- Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations
- Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions
- Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
- The Blame Game - who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?
- Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
- Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
- Visualisation for public-resource climate modelling
- Environmental online communication
- Casino-21: Climate Simulation of the 21st Century
- Possible or probable?
- Liability for climate change
- Model error in weather and climate forecasting
- Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability
- Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem
- How far ahead could we predict El Nino?
- Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
- Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise
- Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles
- Do it yourself climate prediction
- Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
