A real-time Global Warming Index
K. Haustein, M. R. Allen, P. M. Forster, F. E. L. Otto, D. M. Mitchell, H. D. Matthews & D. J. Frame
Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform
D. Ackerley, E.J. Highwood & D.J. Frame
A North African perspective on climate change
Download pdf (12.2 MB)
The spectre of liability
Talk at the Climate Change Solutions meeting, Birmingham, May 2005.
Download pdf (2.5 MB)
Call off the quest
M.R. Allen & D. Frame
Science, 26, 582–583, October 2007. Doi:10.1126/science.1149988. Download pdf (150 KB)
Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting
Extended abstract of a talk for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Uncertainty and Risk, Maynooth, Ireland, 12 to 14 May, 2004. Download pdf (140 KB)
Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net
Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
Download pdf (2.7 MB)
From the sun to the earth: climate 1879 to 2129
Presentation at Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford, July 2004.
Download pdf (4 MB)
The case for mandatory sequestration
M.R. Allen, D. Frame & C. Manson
Nature Geoscience 2, 813–814, December 2009. The case for mandatory sequestration abstract on Nature Geoscience website.
Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
Download pdf (910 KB)
Physics Today lecture
Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
Download pdf (2.3 MB)
How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
Download pdf (270 KB)
Puzzles arising from climateprediction.net
Newcastle, March 2006.
Download pdf (2.9 MB)
What can be said about 21st century climate?
Download pdf (14.1 MB)
Model error in weather and climate forecasting
Presentation to Reading University, May 2005.
Download pdf (1.7 MB)
Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen
16 December, 2009.
Download pdf (1.5 MB)
The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?
M.R. Allen & R. Lord
Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)
What can be said about future climate? Quantifying uncertainty in multi-decade climate forecasting
Harvard University, February 2008.
Download pdf (34 MB)
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
M.R. Allen, W. Ingram & D. Stainforth
Nature Insight article, Nature, 419, 224–232, 12 September 2002. Download pdf (210 KB)