Publications

Ensemble of European regional climate simulations for the winter of 2013 and 2014 from HadAM3P-RM3P

Nathalie Schaller, Sarah N. Sparrow, Neil R. Massey, Andy Bowery, Jonathan Miller, Simon Wilson, David C.H. Wallom, Friederike E.L. Otto

Scientific Data 5, Article number: 180057 (2018) doi:10.1038/sdata.2018.57. Link to full paper.

Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform

D. Ackerley, E.J. Highwood & D.J. Frame

Print
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 114, D01203, January 2009. Link to abstract from Wiley Online Library.

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)

Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting

Myles Allen

Extended abstract of a talk for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Uncertainty and Risk, Maynooth, Ireland, 12 to 14 May, 2004. Download pdf (140 KB)

Energy and climate: understanding climate change

Myles Allen


Saïd Business School, Oxford, January 2008.
Download pdf (18 MB)

A North African perspective on climate change

Myles Allen


October 2007.
Download pdf (12.2 MB)

What can be said about 21st century climate?

Myles Allen


June 2007.
Download pdf (14.1 MB)

Puzzles arising from climateprediction.net

Myles Allen


Newcastle, March 2006.
Download pdf (2.9 MB)

The spectre of liability

Myles Allen


Talk at the Climate Change Solutions meeting, Birmingham, May 2005.
Download pdf (2.5 MB)

Model error in weather and climate forecasting

Myles Allen


Presentation to Reading University, May 2005.
Download pdf (1.7 MB)

Probability in attributing and predicting climate change

Myles Allen


British Council, Leipzig, April 2005.
Download pdf (4.9 MB)

Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net

Myles Allen


Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
Download pdf (2.7 MB)

Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave

Myles Allen


COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
Download pdf (910 KB)

From the sun to the earth: climate 1879 to 2129

Myles Allen


Presentation at Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford, July 2004.
Download pdf (4 MB)

Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?

Myles Allen


Santiago de Compostela, July, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)

Probability and climate change

Myles Allen


Department of Trade and Industry UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)
Russian version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 1.9 MB)

Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen

Myles Allen


16 December, 2009.
Download pdf (1.5 MB)

How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?

Myles Allen


Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
Download pdf (270 KB)

Physics Today lecture

Dave Frame


Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
Download pdf (2.3 MB)

Presentation to CosmoCaixa

Myles Allen


Madrid, Spain, March 2003.
Download pdf (560 KB)
Spanish version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 2 MB)