Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform
D. Ackerley, E.J. Highwood & D.J. Frame
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 114, D01203, January 2009. Link to abstract from Wiley Online Library.
Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth
Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)
Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting
Extended abstract of a talk for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Uncertainty and Risk, Maynooth, Ireland, 12 to 14 May, 2004. Download pdf (140 KB)
Energy and climate: understanding climate change
Saïd Business School, Oxford, January 2008.
Download pdf (18 MB)
A North African perspective on climate change
Download pdf (12.2 MB)
What can be said about 21st century climate?
Download pdf (14.1 MB)
Puzzles arising from climateprediction.net
Newcastle, March 2006.
Download pdf (2.9 MB)
The spectre of liability
Talk at the Climate Change Solutions meeting, Birmingham, May 2005.
Download pdf (2.5 MB)
Model error in weather and climate forecasting
Presentation to Reading University, May 2005.
Download pdf (1.7 MB)
Probability in attributing and predicting climate change
British Council, Leipzig, April 2005.
Download pdf (4.9 MB)
Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net
Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
Download pdf (2.7 MB)
Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
Download pdf (910 KB)
From the sun to the earth: climate 1879 to 2129
Presentation at Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford, July 2004.
Download pdf (4 MB)
Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?
Santiago de Compostela, July, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)
Probability and climate change
Department of Trade and Industry UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003.
Download pdf (1.9 MB)
Russian version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 1.9 MB)
Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen
16 December, 2009.
Download pdf (1.5 MB)
How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
Download pdf (270 KB)
Physics Today lecture
Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
Download pdf (2.3 MB)
Presentation to CosmoCaixa
Madrid, Spain, March 2003.
Download pdf (560 KB)
Spanish version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 2 MB)
The case for mandatory sequestration
M.R. Allen, D. Frame & C. Manson
Nature Geoscience 2, 813–814, December 2009. The case for mandatory sequestration abstract on Nature Geoscience website.