Quantifying the effects of perturbing the physics of an interactive sulfur scheme using an ensemble of GCMs on the climateprediction.net platform
D. Ackerley, E.J. Highwood & D.J. Frame
Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth
Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)
Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting
Extended abstract of a talk for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Uncertainty and Risk, Maynooth, Ireland, 12 to 14 May, 2004. Download pdf (140 KB)
Energy and climate: understanding climate change
Saïd Business School, Oxford, January 2008.
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A North African perspective on climate change
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What can be said about 21st century climate?
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Puzzles arising from climateprediction.net
Newcastle, March 2006.
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The spectre of liability
Talk at the Climate Change Solutions meeting, Birmingham, May 2005.
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Model error in weather and climate forecasting
Presentation to Reading University, May 2005.
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Probability in attributing and predicting climate change
British Council, Leipzig, April 2005.
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Is there a safe GHG stabilisation level? Results from climateprediction.net
Report to NERC council, Swindon, April 2005.
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Human influence on weather risk: the 2003 European heat wave
COP10, Buenos Aires, December, 2004.
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From the sun to the earth: climate 1879 to 2129
Presentation at Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford, July 2004.
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Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change?
Santiago de Compostela, July, 2003.
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Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen
16 December, 2009.
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How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
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Physics Today lecture
Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
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The case for mandatory sequestration
M.R. Allen, D. Frame & C. Manson
Nature Geoscience 2, 813–814, December 2009. The case for mandatory sequestration abstract on Nature Geoscience website.