Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change
M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth
Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)
The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?
M.R. Allen & R. Lord
Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)
Physics Today lecture
Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
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How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?
Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
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The case for mandatory sequestration
M.R. Allen, D. Frame & C. Manson
Nature Geoscience 2, 813–814, December 2009. The case for mandatory sequestration abstract on Nature Geoscience website.
Call off the quest
M.R. Allen & D. Frame
Science, 26, 582–583, October 2007. Doi:10.1126/science.1149988. Download pdf (150 KB)
Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen
16 December, 2009.
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Attribution of climate change: the spectre of liability
Presentation to Pretorial Meeting, October 2005.
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The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand
Black, M. T., Karoly, D. J., Rosier, S. M., Dean, S. M., King, A. D., Massey, N. R., Sparrow, S. N., Bowery, A., Wallom, D., Jones, R. G., Otto, F. E. L., and Allen, M. R
Geoscientific Model Development; Katlenburg-Lindau9.9 (2016): 3161-3176.
Climate change was an important driver of southern Australia’s warmest October on record
Black, M.T., and D. J. Karoly
[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S118-S121. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0124.1
Volunteer computing in the Earth Sciences
Institute of Physics, London, 10 September, 2009.
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The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations
C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth
Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)
How far ahead could we predict El Nino?
M. Collins, D. Frame, B. Sinha & C. Wilson
Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10:1492, 31 May 2002. Download pdf (180 KB)
Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem
Climate Dynamics, 19 (8), 671–692, 18 March 2002. Download pdf (1.8 MB)
Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365, 1471–2962, 2007. Download pdf (340 KB)
Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability
M. Collins & M.R. Allen
Journal of Climate, 15 (21), 3104–3109, November 2002. Download pdf (140 KB)
Cafe Scientifique, Cuba, April 2005.
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Predicting climate change through volunteer computing
Nick Faull & Milo Thurston
Oxford University Computing Services, February 2007.
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