Publications

Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change

M.R. Allen, P. Stott, J. Mitchell, R. Schnur & T. Delworth

Nature, 407, 617–620, October 2000. Download pdf (130 KB)

The Blame Game – who will pay for the damaging consequences of climate change?

M.R. Allen & R. Lord

Nature, 432, 551–552, December 2004. Download pdf (290 KB)

Physics Today lecture

Dave Frame


Lecture to Oxford undergraduates, January, 2003.
Download pdf (2.3 MB)

How can we (in)validate a probabilistic forecast?

Myles Allen


Talk at the European Geophysical Society, Nice, April 2003.
Download pdf (270 KB)

Presentation to CosmoCaixa

Myles Allen


Madrid, Spain, March 2003.
Download pdf (560 KB)
Spanish version also available as a presentation file (ppt, 2 MB)

The case for mandatory sequestration

M.R. Allen, D. Frame & C. Manson

Nature Geoscience 2, 813–814, December 2009. The case for mandatory sequestration abstract on Nature Geoscience website.

Call off the quest

M.R. Allen & D. Frame

Science, 26, 582–583, October 2007. Doi:10.1126/science.1149988. Download pdf (150 KB)

Beware of what you wish for in Copenhagen

Myles Allen


16 December, 2009.
Download pdf (1.5 MB)

Attribution of climate change: the spectre of liability

Myles Allen


Presentation to Pretorial Meeting, October 2005.
Download pdf (4.8 MB)

The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

Black, M. T., Karoly, D. J., Rosier, S. M., Dean, S. M., King, A. D., Massey, N. R., Sparrow, S. N., Bowery, A., Wallom, D., Jones, R. G., Otto, F. E. L., and Allen, M. R

Geoscientific Model Development; Katlenburg-Lindau9.9 (2016): 3161-3176.

Climate change was an important driver of southern Australia’s warmest October on record

Black, M.T., and D. J. Karoly

[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S118-S121. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0124.1

Volunteer computing in the Earth Sciences

Carl Christensen


Institute of Physics, London, 10 September, 2009.
Download pdf (26.7 MB)

The challenge of volunteer computing with lengthy climate modelling simulations

C. Christensen, T. Aina & D. Stainforth

Proceedings of the 1st IEEE Conference on e-Science and Grid Computing, Melbourne, Australia, 5 to 8 December 2005. Download pdf (120 KB)

How far ahead could we predict El Nino?

M. Collins, D. Frame, B. Sinha & C. Wilson

Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 10:1492, 31 May 2002. Download pdf (180 KB)

Climate predictability on Interannual to decadal time scales: the initial value problem

M. Collins

Climate Dynamics, 19 (8), 671–692, 18 March 2002. Download pdf (1.8 MB)

Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change

M. Collins

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365, 1471–2962, 2007. Download pdf (340 KB)

Assessing the relative roles of initial and boundary conditions in interannual to decadal climate predictability

M. Collins & M.R. Allen

Journal of Climate, 15 (21), 3104–3109, November 2002. Download pdf (140 KB)

Climate change

Sam Dean


Cafe Scientifique, Cuba, April 2005.
Download pdf (2.3 MB)

Predicting climate change through volunteer computing

Nick Faull & Milo Thurston


Oxford University Computing Services, February 2007.
Download pdf (3.9 MB)