Climate change was an important driver of southern Australia’s warmest October on record

Black, M.T., and D. J. Karoly

[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S118-S121. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0124.1

The weather@home regional climate modelling project for Australia and New Zealand

Black, M. T., Karoly, D. J., Rosier, S. M., Dean, S. M., King, A. D., Massey, N. R., Sparrow, S. N., Bowery, A., Wallom, D., Jones, R. G., Otto, F. E. L., and Allen, M. R

Geoscientific Model Development; Katlenburg-Lindau9.9 (2016): 3161-3176.

Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs

Haustein, K., Otto, F.E.L., Uhe, P., Schaller, N., Allen, M.R., Hermanson, L., Christidis, N., McLean, P. and Cullen, H.

Environmental Research Letters, 11(6). 064006.

The roles of climate change and El Niño in the record low rainfall in October 2015 in Tasmania, Australia

Karoly, D. J., M.T. Black, M.R. Grose and A. D. King

[in “Explaining Extremes of 2015 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 97, S127-S130. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0139.1

Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems

Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B., Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woolings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M

Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z

Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States

Mote, P., Rupp, D., Li, S. Sharp, D. Otto, F., Uhe, P., Xiao, M., Lettermaier, D., Cullen, H. and Allen, M.

Geophysical Research Letters: 10980-10988.

Climate Model Forecast Biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble

Extreme events: The art of attribution

Friederike E. L. Otto

Nature Climate Change6,342–343(2016): doi:10.1038/nclimate2971

The attribution question

Otto, F.E.L., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Eden, J., Stott, P.A., Karoly, D.J. and Allen, M.R.

Nature Climate Change, 6: 813-816.

Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate.

Hannah R. Parker, Emily Boyd, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Rachel James, Friederike E. L. Otto & Myles R. Allen

Climate Policy: doi:10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750

A comparison of model ensembles for attributing 2012 West African rainfall,

Parker, H., Lott, F., Cornforth, R., Mitchell, D., Sparrow, S., and Wallom, D

Environmental Research Letters, 12 014019 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5386

Less warming projected during heavy winter precipitation in the Cascades and Sierra Nevada

Rupp, D. and Li, S

Int. J. Climatol.. doi:10.1002/joc.4963

Seasonal spatial patterns of projected anthropogenic warming in complex terrain: a modeling study of the western US

Rupp, D.E., Li, S., Mote, P.W., Shell, K.M., Massey, N., Sparrow, S.N., Wallom, D.C. and Allen, M.R

Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3200-x

Influence of the ocean and greenhouse gases on severe drought likelihood in the central US in 2012

Rupp, Sihan Li, Philip W Mote, Neil Massey, Sarah N Sparrow, David CH Wallom

Journal of Climate. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0294.1

Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

Nathalie Schaller, Alison L. Kay, Rob Lamb, Neil R. Massey, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E. L. Otto, Sarah N. Sparrow, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, Ian Ashpole, Andy Bowery, Susan M. Crooks, Karsten Haustein, Chris Huntingford, William J. Ingram, Richard G. Jones, Tim Legg, Jonathan Miller, Jessica Skeggs, David Wallom, Antje Weisheimer, Simon Wilson, Peter A. Stott & Myles R. Allen

Nature Climate Change(2016): doi:10.1038/nclimate2927

A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations

Sippel, S., Otto, F., Forkel, M., Allen, M., Guillod, B., Heimann, M., Reichstein, M., Seneviratne, S., Thonicke, K. and Mahecha, M

Earth System Dynamics, 7(1): 71-88.

Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

Uhe, P., Otto, F.E.L., Haustein, K., van Oldenborgh, G.J., King, A.D., Wallom, D.C.H., Allen, M.R. and Cullen, H

Geophysical Research Letters. DOI:10.1002/2016GL069568

The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India

van Oldenburg, G. J., Otto, F., Haustein, K., and AchutaRao, K.

In the Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 12, December 2016: Explaining Extreme Events of 2015 – From a Climate Perspective, pgs 87 – 92 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0129.1

Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

Vautard, R., Yiou, P., Otto, F., Stott, P., Christidis, N., van Oldenborgh, G.J. and Schaller, N.

Environmental Research Letters, 11(11). 114009.