Publications
Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles
R. Knutti, T. Stocker, F. Joos & G.-K. Plattner
Nature 416, 18 April 2002. Download pdf (200 KB)
Comment on heat capacity, time constant and sensitivity of Earth’s climate system by S. E. Schwartz
R. Knutti, S. Krähenmann, D.J. Frame & M.R. Allen
Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, 2008. D15103, doi:10.1029/2007JD009473. Download pdf (190 KB)
Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western United States using a superensemble from weather@home
Sihan Li, Philip W. Mote, David E. Rupp, Dean Vickers, Robert Mera, and Myles Allen
Journal of Climate 2015 ; e-View doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00808.1
From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England
A. Lopez, F. Fung, M. New, G. Watts, A. Weston & R. Wilby
Water Resources Research, 45, W08419, 2009. From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England abstract from Wiley online library.
The attribution of warm November and cold December Central England temperatures
N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Rye, F.E.L. Otto, S. Wilson, R.G. Jones, & M.R. Allen
[in: Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 7, 2012. Download pdf (7.4 MB)
weather@home – development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution
Neil Massey, Richard Jones, Friederike Otto, Tolu Aina, Simon Wilson, James Murphy, David Hassell, Hiro Yamazaki and Myles Allen
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2455
Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in climateprediction.net
N. Massey, T. Aina, M. Allen, C. Christensen, D. Frame, D. Goodman, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe & D. Stainforth
Advances in Geosciences, 8, 49–56, 2006. Download pdf (300 KB)
Data access and analysis with distributed, federated data servers in climateprediction.net
Neil Massey
Presentation to the European Geophysical Union, April 2005.
Download pdf (400 KB)
Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley
Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, and Peter C. Frumhoff
Climatic Change, 2015; DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3
Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design
Daniel Mitchell, Krishna AchutaRa, Myles Allen, Ingo Bethke, Urs Beyerle, Andrew Ciavarella, Piers M. Forster, Jan Fuglestvedt, Nathan Gillett, Karsten Haustein, William Ingram, Trond Iversen,Viatcheslav Kharin, Nicholas Klingaman, Neil Massey, Erich Fischer, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, John Scinocca, Øyvind Seland, Hideo Shiogama, Emily Shuckburgh, Sarah Sparrow, Dáithí Stone, Peter Uhe, David Wallom, MichaelWehner and Rashyd Zaaboul.
Geoscientific Model Development, February 2017
Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems
Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B., Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woolings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M
Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z
Enabling BOINC in Infrastructure as a Service Cloud Systems
Diego Montes, Juan A. Añel, Tomás F. Pena, Peter Uhe, and David C. H. Wallom
Perspectives on the causes of exceptionally low 2015 snowpack in the western United States
Mote, P., Rupp, D., Li, S. Sharp, D. Otto, F., Uhe, P., Xiao, M., Lettermaier, D., Cullen, H. and Allen, M.
Geophysical Research Letters: 10980-10988.
Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
Mote, P. W., M. R. Allen, R. G. Jones, S. Li, R. Mera, D. E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, D. Vickers
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (97), 203-215, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1.
Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US
Philip W. Mote, Myles R. Allen, Richard G. Jones, Sihan Li, Roberto Mera, David E. Rupp, Ahmed Salahuddin and Dean Vickers
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2015, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1
Climate Model Forecast Biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble
Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Barnett, G. Jones, M. Webb, M. Collins & D. Stainforth
Nature, 430, 768–772, August 2004. Download pdf (580 KB)
Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
M. New, A. Lopez, S. Dessai & R. Wilby
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 2117–2131, 2007. Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector abstract on Royal Society website.
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F.E.L. Otto, N. Massey, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.G. Jones & M.R. Allen
Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702, 2012. Doi:10.1029/2011GL050422. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave, abstract from Wiley Online Library.